{"id":2883,"date":"2025-12-26T10:23:47","date_gmt":"2025-12-26T10:23:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?p=2883"},"modified":"2025-12-26T10:23:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-26T10:23:47","slug":"mena-focus-2025%eb%85%84-12%ec%9b%94%ed%98%b8-retrospect-and-outlook-on-the-gulf-regional-situation-amid-the-prolonged-aftermath-of-the-2023-gaza-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?p=2883","title":{"rendered":"[MENA Focus 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\ud638] Retrospect and Outlook on the Gulf Regional Situation amid the Prolonged Aftermath of the 2023 Gaza War"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Retrospect and Outlook on the Gulf Regional Situation amid the Prolonged Aftermath of the 2023 Gaza War<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>So Yeon Ahn (SNUAC)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In 2025, the Gulf region experienced an exceptionally busy year as political uncertainty intensified amid the lingering repercussions of the 2023 Gaza war, prompting Gulf states to explore a wide range of response strategies. In particular, following President Donald Trump\u2019s return to office, Gulf countries sought to strengthen relations with the new U.S. administration while positioning themselves as mediators in an effort to overcome political instability across the Middle East. In May 2025, President Trump selected Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates as the destinations of his first overseas trip since returning to power. In his Riyadh speech, he praised the Gulf states\u2019 autonomous reform initiatives and emphasized that the door to negotiations with Iran remained open, signaling a preference for regional stability over direct involvement in a full-scale Middle Eastern war. Notably, Saudi Arabia demonstrated its role as a mediator by hosting a meeting between President Trump and Syrian transitional government President Ahmed al-Sharaa. During the same trip, President Trump concluded large-scale agreements with Gulf countries in areas such as artificial intelligence and defense, underscoring the Gulf states\u2019 suitability as partners in his transaction-oriented approach to diplomacy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meanwhile, the so-called \u201c12-day war\u201d that broke out in June 2025\u2014marked by Israeli strikes on Iran\u2019s nuclear facilities and subsequent U.S. military involvement\u2014once again heightened political instability in the Gulf region. Gulf states voiced solidarity with Iran and criticized Israel. This sense of insecurity was further exacerbated by Israel\u2019s September 2025 airstrike targeting Hamas leadership in Qatar, which came as a profound shock to Gulf countries. As a result, Gulf states have once again been reminded of their security vulnerabilities and are expected to place greater emphasis on strengthening their security posture.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Amid rising political instability, signs of renewed diplomatic thaw have also emerged. Recently, Iran and Saudi Arabia reportedly held a trilateral meeting with China in Tehran, where discussions focused on the implementation of agreements aimed at restoring bilateral relations.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Although a ceasefire agreement in the Gaza war was reached in October 2025, doubts remain regarding its sustainability. Should the ceasefire collapse, Iran and the so-called Axis of Resistance are likely to expand the front of resistance against Israel, further heightening political instability within the Gulf region. Conversely, if the Gaza war stabilizes to some extent, Gulf states are expected to accelerate the implementation of their economic visions while simultaneously seeking new approaches to enhance security. Under such conditions, efforts strongly promoted by President Trump to normalize relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel could also gain renewed momentum. In 2026, the geopolitical landscape surrounding the Gulf region is expected to increasingly reflect efforts to seek a new form of stability amid persistent uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>2023<\/b><b>\ub144 \uac00\uc790 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc5ec\ud30c \uc18d \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc815\uc138 \ud68c\uace0 \ubc0f \uc804\ub9dd<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>\uc548\uc18c\uc5f0 (\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2025\ub144 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc740 2023\ub144 \uac00\uc790 \uc804\uc7c1\uc758 \uc5ec\ud30c \uc18d \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub300\uc751 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ub2e4\uac01\ub3c4\ub85c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud558\ub290\ub77c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubd84\uc8fc\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub358 \ud55c\ud574\uc600\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uc7ac\uc9d1\uad8c\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e0\uc815\ubd80\uc640 \uad00\uacc4 \uac15\ud654\ub97c \uaf80\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc911\uc7ac \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uba70 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \uadf9\ubcf5\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud558\uc600\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc9d1\uad8c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ucd08\uc758 \ud574\uc678 \uc21c\ubc29\uc9c0\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544, \uce74\ud0c0\ub974, \uc544\ub78d\uc5d0\ubbf8\ub9ac\ud2b8\ub97c \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514 \ub9ac\uc57c\ub4dc \uc5f0\uc124\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uc8fc\uccb4\uc801\uc778 \uac1c\ud601 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ub192\uc774 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \uc774\ub780\uacfc \ud611\uc0c1\uc758 \ubb38\uc744 \uc5f4\uc5b4\ub450\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uba74\uc804\uc5d0 \uac1c\uc785\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc548\uc815\uc744 \uaf80\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud568\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\ub294 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uacfc\ub3c4 \uc815\ubd80 \uc544\ud750\ub9c8\ub4dc \uc54c\uc0e4\ub77c \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uacfc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uac04 \ud68c\ub2f4\uc744 \uc8fc\uc7ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc911\uc7ac\uc790\ub85c\uc11c \uba74\ubaa8\ub97c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b4\uae30\ub3c4 \ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uc21c\ubc29 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 AI, \ubc29\uc0b0 \ub4f1 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uacfc \uccb4\uacb0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc8fc\uc758 \uc678\uad50\uc758 \uc801\uc784\uc790\uc784\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 2025\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ubc1c\ubc1c\ud55c \uc774\ub978\ubc14 12\uc77c \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \ud575\uc2dc\uc124 \uacf5\uaca9\uacfc \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac \uac1c\uc785\uc740 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud55c\ubc88 \uace0\uc870\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4. \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uacfc \uc5f0\ub300\ub97c \ud45c\ud558\uba70 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc744 \ube44\ub09c\ud558\uace0 \ub098\uc130\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 2025\ub144 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uce74\ud0c0\ub974 \ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc740 \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud070 \ucda9\uaca9\uc77c \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc548\ubcf4 \ucde8\uc57d\uc131\uc744 \uc7ac\uc2e4\uac10\ud558\uace0 \uc548\ubcf4 \uac15\ud654\uc5d0 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc8fc\ub825\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud55c\ud3b8 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud574\ube59 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub3c4 \uac10\uc9c0\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc774\ub780\uacfc \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\ub294 \uc911\uad6d \uc911\uc7ac\ub85c \uc774\ub780 \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc5d0\uc11c 3\uc790 \ud68c\ub2f4\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc591\uce21 \uac04 \uad00\uacc4 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud611\uc815 \uc774\ud589 \uc0ac\ud56d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ube44\ub85d 2025\ub144 10\uc6d4 \uac00\uc790 \uc804\uc7c1 \ud734\uc804 \ud611\uc815\uc774 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud734\uc804 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc758\uad6c\uc2ec\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud734\uc804\uc774 \ubd88\ubc1c\ub418\uba74 \uc774\ub780\uacfc \uc800\ud56d\uc758 \ucd95 \uc138\ub825\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc800\ud56d \uc804\uc120\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ub0b4 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uac00\uc790 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub418\uba74 \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ube44\uc804 \uc2e4\ud604\uc5d0 \ub354\uc6b1 \ubc15\ucc28\ub97c \uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc548\ubcf4 \uac15\ud654\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uac15\ub825\ud558\uac8c \ucd94\uc9c4 \uc911\uc778 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc640 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uad00\uacc4 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654 \ub178\ub825\uc774 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc815\uc138\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc548\uc815\uc744 \ucc3e\uc73c\ub824\ub294 \ub178\ub825\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac00\uc2dc\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Retrospect and Outlook on the Gulf Regional Situation amid the  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2290,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2025-12-mena-focus"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2883","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2883"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2883\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2893,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2883\/revisions\/2893"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2290"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}