{"id":2356,"date":"2024-12-24T03:41:54","date_gmt":"2024-12-24T03:41:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?p=2356"},"modified":"2024-12-24T03:41:54","modified_gmt":"2024-12-24T03:41:54","slug":"mena-focus-2024%eb%85%84-12%ec%9b%94%ed%98%b8-gulf-leaders-expected-to-maintain-pragmatic-stance-on-syrias-future-developments","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?p=2356","title":{"rendered":"[MENA Focus 2024\ub144 12\uc6d4\ud638] Gulf Leaders Expected to Maintain Pragmatic Stance on Syria&#8217;s Future Developments"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>Gulf Leaders Expected to Maintain Pragmatic Stance on Syria&#8217;s Future Developments<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>Soyeon Ahn (SNUAC)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As Syrian rebel forces have taken control of Damascus, the long-standing regime of Bashar al-Assad has collapsed, effectively bringing an end to the 13-year Syrian civil war. The Syrian rebels have decided to establish an interim government, which will operate until March next year, and have appointed Muhammad al-Bashir, the head of the administrative organization of the leading rebel faction, Hay&#8217;at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), as interim prime minister.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">With Syria&#8217;s situation rapidly changing, Gulf monarchs are paying close attention. Assad, who was ousted from the Arab League due to mass civilian killings during the civil war, was reinstated at the Arab League Summit in 2023 with strong support from Saudi Arabia and the UAE. This reinstatement was seen as part of Gulf states\u2019 strategy to reduce Iranian influence in Syria. The Gulf countries, following a pragmatic approach, had chosen to readmit Assad despite his controversial past.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This pragmatic stance by the Gulf states continues even after the fall of the Assad regime. On December 14, the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain held a meeting in Jordan with representatives from other Arab countries, including Iraq, Lebanon, and Egypt. Following the talks, they issued a joint statement expressing support for a peaceful and inclusive transfer of power in Syria through national dialogue and pledged support for the Syrian people. They also condemned Israel\u2019s attacks on Syrian territory.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Currently, Gulf monarchs are analyzing the potential impact of the developments in Syria on their own nations. There are concerns that the fall of Assad\u2019s regime at the hands of the rebels could spark a second wave of anti-government protests similar to the Arab Spring. Additionally, they are worried about political instability, such as the emergence of another civil war during the transition of power, which could destabilize the region. Most notably, there are apprehensions regarding the revival of Islamist movements, given that the rebel leadership is rooted in Islamist ideologies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">At the same time, there is cautious optimism that if stability is achieved in Syria, it could lead to a reduction in Iran\u2019s regional influence and pave the way for a new regional order centered around Sunni Gulf monarchies. This duality of concerns and expectations highlights the Gulf states&#8217; pragmatic approach to the unfolding situation in Syria.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>\uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00 \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790\ub4e4<\/b><b>, <\/b><b>\uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc815\uc138\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc2e4\uc6a9\uc8fc\uc758\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc804\ub9dd<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>\uc548\uc18c\uc5f0 (\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ubc18\uad70 \uc138\ub825\uc774 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc218\ub3c4 \ub2e4\ub9c8\uc2a4\ucfe0\uc2a4\ub97c \uc7a5\uc545\ud568\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\ub97c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud574\uc654\ub358 \ubc14\uc0e4\ub974 \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \uc815\uad8c\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uace0 13\ub144 \uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uc5c8\ub358 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc774 \uc77c\ub2e8\ub77d\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. 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\ucd95\ucd9c\ub418\uc5c8\ub358 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 2023\ub144 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc640 UAE\uc758 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc544\ub78d\uc5f0\ub9f9 \uc815\uc0c1\ud68c\ub2f4\uc5d0 \ubcf5\uadc0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ubcf5\uadc0\ub294 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ucd95\uc18c\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud588\ub358 \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uc758\ub3c4\uac00 \uae54\ub824\uc788\ub358 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2e4\uc6a9\uc8fc\uc758\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc778 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac78\ud504 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uc2e4\uc6a9\uc8fc\uc758\uc801 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub294 \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \uc815\uad8c \ubab0\ub77d \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 12\uc6d4 14\uc77c \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544, UAE, \uce74\ud0c0\ub974, \ubc14\ub808\uc778 \uc678\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc694\ub974\ub2e8\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub77c\ud06c, \ub808\ubc14\ub17c, \uc774\uc9d1\ud2b8 \ub4f1 \uc544\ub78d \uad6d\uac00 \ub300\ud45c\ub4e4\uacfc \ud68c\ub2f4\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589\ud55c \ub4a4 \uacf5\ub3d9\uc131\uba85\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc640\uc758 \uad6d\uac00 \ub300\ud654\ub97c \ud1b5\ud55c \ud3c9\ud654\uc801\uc774\uace0 \ud3ec\uc6a9\uc801\uc778 \uc815\uad8c \uc774\uc591\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc758\uc0ac\ub97c \ubc1d\ud614\uc73c\uba70 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uc758\uc0ac\ub97c \ud45c\uba85\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc601\ud1a0 \uacf5\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ube44\ub09c\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc81c\uae30\ud558\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud604\uc7ac \uac78\ud504 \uc655\uc815 \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc804\uac1c\uac00 \uc790\uad6d\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce60 \ud30c\uae09\ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \ub2e4\uac01\ub3c4\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uba3c\uc800 \uac78\ud504 \uc655\uc815 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \ubc18\uad70\uc5d0 \uc758\ud55c \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \uc815\uad8c\uc758 \ubab0\ub77d\uc774 \uc790\uce6b\ud558\uba74 \uc81c 2\uc758 \uc544\ub78d\uc758 \ubd04 \ubc18\uc815\ubd80 \uc2dc\uc704 \ud655\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744\uae4c \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \uc815\uad8c \uc774\uc591 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub0b4\uc804 \ubc1c\uc0dd\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ud63c\ub780\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc815\uc138 \ubd88\uc548 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc5c7\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc18\uad70 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \uc138\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc2ac\ub78c\uc8fc\uc758\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc2ac\ub78c\uc8fc\uc758\uc758 \ubd80\ud65c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub3c4 \ud070 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc815\uc138\uac00 \uc548\uc815\ud654\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ucd95\uc18c\ud558\uace0 \uc218\ub2c8\ud30c \uac78\ud504 \uc655\uc815 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc9c8\uc11c\ub97c \uad6c\ucd95\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac70\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gulf Leaders Expected to Maintain Pragmatic Stance on Syria&#8217;s Future  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2357,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2024-12-mena-focus"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2356"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2356\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2367,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2356\/revisions\/2367"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2357"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}