{"id":2351,"date":"2024-12-24T03:41:16","date_gmt":"2024-12-24T03:41:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?p=2351"},"modified":"2024-12-24T03:41:16","modified_gmt":"2024-12-24T03:41:16","slug":"mena-focus-2024%eb%85%84-12%ec%9b%94%ed%98%b8-the-end-of-the-syrian-civil-war-and-turkiye","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?p=2351","title":{"rendered":"[MENA Focus 2024\ub144 12\uc6d4\ud638] The End of the Syrian Civil War and T\u00fcrkiye"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>The End of the Syrian Civil War and T\u00fcrkiye<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>Han, Haeun (SNUAC)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Syrian Civil War has long been a significant event shaping international relations, and the recent resignation of Assad is expected to bring notable changes in the attitudes and responses of countries directly or indirectly involved in the conflict. T\u00fcrkiye, sharing a 911-kilometer border with Syria and hosting 5 million Syrian refugees, has played a crucial role as a mediator in the war.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">On the very day the war was declared over, the repatriation of Syrian refugees in T\u00fcrkiye began. While many Syrians are returning home, most appear to be men carrying only backpacks, raising questions among politicians and the media in T\u00fcrkiye. It is widely believed that these individuals are initially returning to assess the situation in their homeland, leaving their families behind in T\u00fcrkiye.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Over the past 13 years, many Syrian refugees have had children in T\u00fcrkiye, who have grown up as Turkish citizens, received education, and enjoyed economic stability through government support. This indicates that a significant number of refugees may choose to stay in T\u00fcrkiye.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Given the prolonged duration of the war, both Syria and T\u00fcrkiye are likely to face a long and challenging road to returning to normalcy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Trump criticized T\u00fcrkiye for what he described as an unfriendly takeover regarding the end of the Syrian Civil War. However, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan dismissed these claims, emphasizing that the sovereignty of Syria can only be determined by the Syrian people. He stated that T\u00fcrkiye firmly supports Syria&#8217;s territorial integrity and is even willing to provide financial assistance.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">While there is reasonable suspicion that the rebels&#8217; control might not have been possible without T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;s tacit approval, Russia has also denied T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;s involvement in the conflict, reflecting the exhaustion of neighboring countries over the prolonged war. T\u00fcrkiye initially designated the rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham(HTS), which played a key role in overthrowing the Assad regime, as a terrorist organization. However, in recent years, T\u00fcrkiye has reportedly exerted influence over HTS and engaged in joint activities with the group. Additionally, T\u00fcrkiye officially backs the Syrian National Army(SNA), another proxy force.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, T\u00fcrkiye opposes Kurdish-led rebel groups like the Syrian Democratic Forces(SDF) and the YPG, leading to divisions even among rebel factions. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;s main concern is preventing the establishment of a Kurdish-controlled autonomous region near its borders and avoiding another influx of refugees caused by instability. To achieve this, T\u00fcrkiye seeks to prevent competing power structures within rebel groups from vying for autonomy in Syrian territories.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">T\u00fcrkiye is expected to have significant influence in future negotiations shaping Syria&#8217;s future, along with other key players such as the United States and Gulf states that may provide financial aid for Syria&#8217;s reconstruction. Coordination among these influential nations will be crucial. However, the role of HTS will be particularly pivotal. Whether HTS continues to portray a moderate image or reverts to its jihadist roots will have significant implications, making it a wildcard for the Syrian people and all involved countries.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>\uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc758 \uc885\uacb0\uacfc \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>\ud55c\ud558\uc740 (\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc774\ubc88 \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc\uc758 \ud1f4\uc9c4\uc740 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uac04\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\uc785\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uacfc \uad6d\uc81c \uc815\uc138\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uac83\uc774\ub77c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc640 \uad6d\uacbd\uc744 \ub9de\ub300\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4(911km) 500\ub9cc \uba85\uc758 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub09c\ubbfc\uc744 \ud3ec\uc6a9\ud588\ub358 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\ub294 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc758 \uc911\uc7ac\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \uae34\ubc00\ud558\uac8c \uc5f0\uacb0\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\ub77c \ud558\uaca0\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ub0b4\uc804\uc774 \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uadf8\ub0a0\ubd80\ud130 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608 \ub0b4 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub09c\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc758 \uadc0\ud658\uc740 \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub09c\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc774 \uc904\uc744 \uc11c\uc11c \uace0\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774\ub4e4\uc774 \uc8fc\ub85c \ub0a8\uc131\uc774\uace0 \ubc30\ub0ad\ub9cc\uc744 \uba54\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc778\ub4e4\uc758 \uadc0\ud658\uc5d0 \uad6d\ub0b4 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc815\uce58\uc778\ub4e4\uacfc \ubbf8\ub514\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc740 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \ub358\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac00\uc871\ub4e4\uc740 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uc5d0 \ub0a8\uaca8\ub454 \ucc44 \ubcf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub7ec \uac00\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\uacac\uc774\ub2e4. 13\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub09c\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc740 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ce\uc740 \uc544\uc774\ub4e4\uc744 \ucd9c\uc0b0\ud588\uace0 \ud0dc\uc5b4\ub09c \uc544\uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608 \uad6d\ubbfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub77c\uace0 \uad50\uc721\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ub610\ud55c \uc774\ub4e4 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc740 \uad6d\uac00 \ubcf4\uc870\uae08\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc744 \ub204\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uc5d0 \ub0a8\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc5c7\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc744 \ucc3e\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \ub09c\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc774 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc774 \uc624\ub798\ub41c \ub9cc\ud07c \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\ub3c4 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\ub3c4 \uacfc\uac70 \uc77c\uc0c1\uc758 \uc0b6\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\ub294\ub370 \uae34 \uc9c4\ud1b5\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804 \uc885\uacb0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uc758 \u2018\ube44\uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \uc778\uc218(unfriendly takeover)\u2019\ub77c\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\uc73c\ub098 \uc678\ubb34\ubd80 \uc7a5\uad00 \ud558\uce78 \ud53c\ub2e8\uc740 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \uc720\uc77c\ud55c \uc810\ub839\uc740 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uad6d\ubbfc\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574\uc11c\ub9cc \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc77c\uc774\uace0 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc601\ud1a0 \ubcf4\uc874\uc5d0 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\ub294 \uc801\uadf9 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801 \ub3c4\uc6c0\ub3c4 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud788\uba70 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \ub9d0\uc744 \uc77c\ucd95\ud588\ub2e4. \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc2b9\uc778 \uc5c6\uc774\ub294 \ubc18\uad70\uc758 \uc810\ub839\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801 \uc758\uc2ec\uc774 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\ub3c4 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uc758 \ub0b4\uc804 \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \ubd80\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uad00\ub828\uad6d\uc758 \ud53c\ub85c\ub3c4\uac00 \uadf9\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\ub294 \uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \uc815\uad8c\uc744 \ucd95\ucd9c\ud574 \ub0b8 \ud558\uc58f\ud2b8 \ud0c0\ud750\ub9ac\ub974 \uc54c\uc0f4(HTS) \ubc18\uad70\uc744 \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ud14c\ub7ec \uc870\uc9c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc815\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc774 \uc870\uc9c1\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud558\uba70 \ud568\uaed8 \ud65c\ub3d9\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubc18\uad70 \uc911 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uac00 \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uad6d\ubbfc\uad70(SNA)\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ucfe0\ub974\ub4dc\uc871 \uc8fc\ub3c4 \ubc18\uad70\uc778 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\ubbfc\uc8fc\uad70(SDF)\uc640 YPG\ub294 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uac00 \uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubc18\uad70 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608 \ud3b8\uc774 \ub098\ub258\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uac00 \uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uad6d\uacbd\uc5d0 \ucfe0\ub974\ub4dc\uc871\uc774 \ud1b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uc790\uce58\uad6c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae30\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uba70 \uad6d\uc815 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ub09c\ubbfc\uc774 \ub610\ub2e4\uc2dc \uc720\uc785\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ubc18\uad70 \ub0b4 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uad8c\ub825 \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc601\ud1a0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uce58\uad8c\uc744 \uc5bb\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uacbd\uc7c1\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uae30 \uc6d0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \ubbf8\ub798\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608 \ub9cc\ud07c\uc774\ub098 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub3c4 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc7ac\uac74\uc5d0 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud574 \uc904 \uc911\ub3d9 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \uc758\uacac \uc870\uc728\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\uaca0\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubb34\uc5c7\ubcf4\ub2e4 HTS\uac00 \uc628\uac74\ud55c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560\uc9c0 \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uc9c0\ud558\ub514\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uc0c9\ucc44\ub97c \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0bc\uc9c0\uac00 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub4e4\uacfc \uad00\ub828 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uac8c \uc640\uc77c\ub4dc \uce74\ub4dc\ub85c \uc791\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 HTS\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud589\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \ubc14\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The End of the Syrian Civil War and T\u00fcrkiye Han,  [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2350,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2351","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2024-12-mena-focus"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2351","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2351"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2351\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2366,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2351\/revisions\/2366"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2350"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2351"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2351"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2351"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}